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Home Analysis

Notcoin value rebounds: oversold bounce or bear lure?

by cryptostandard
in Analysis
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Notcoin value rebounds: oversold bounce or bear lure?
  • Notcoin (NOT) value rebounds 2% however nonetheless trades far beneath key averages.
  • Group hype fuels optimism regardless of weak liquidity.
  • TON ecosystem buzz provides short-term speculative assist.

Notcoin value has rebounded by round 2% right this moment, breaking the lengthy bearish pattern that has weighed the altcoin down from the long-awaited value restoration.

The modest uptick comes after weeks of stress that pushed NOT towards recent multi-month lows.

Early September introduced a short-lived surge from $0.001619 to $0.002043 on September 13, however that rally light rapidly, and the token slid again, hitting an all-time low of $0.0016 on September 22, 2025.

The Telegram-linked coin now trades close to $0.001678 with a market capitalisation of roughly $167.4 million and each day volumes approaching $27 million, figures that underline each renewed curiosity and fragile liquidity.

Technical bounce or false daybreak?

Technically, the value motion has traits of a short-term rebound.

Notcoin price analysis
Notcoin value evaluation | Supply: CoinMarketCap

The RSI on the 3-hour chart has risen from deeply oversold territory to about 34.94, whereas the MACD histogram has flattened and turned marginally much less damaging, signalling that merchants have interpreted this as a cue for discount searching.

Structural momentum additionally seems weak.

NOT sits beneath its key short-term averages, with the 7-day SMA sitting close to $0.001644 and the 30-day EMA at round $0.001773.

Assist holds close to $0.00166, and a drop underneath $0.00155 would expose the token to the chance of recent lows.

Group and TON tailwinds

A part of the rebound displays social momentum and ecosystem spillover moderately than elementary upgrades.

Notcoin’s backers spotlight an enormous Telegram-driven holder base and a story of near-full circulation — roughly 97% of the max provide is already out there — as causes to anticipate decrease future promote stress.

That shortage storyline has animated boards and inspired accumulation regardless of macro headwinds.

Ecosystem headlines have helped, too.

The success of TON-focused initiatives similar to Hamster Kombat has pushed renewed curiosity in TON-linked tokens, and Notcoin’s perceived proximity to Telegram’s person base has fed bullish chatter.

This tailwind is speculative by nature: the coin advantages from affiliation with TON’s development, but it has no formal partnership that may assure sustained flows.

Notcoin value forecast

Optimistic value targets have proliferated, with some analysts and group voices citing forecasts of a tenfold transfer to roughly $0.022 by 2025.

These predictions hinge on aggressive listings, continued viral adoption throughout Telegram, and the rollout of mini-apps and game-fi options.

On the similar time, rational scepticism stays warranted: dilution threat from remaining tokens, restricted on-chain utility right this moment, and skinny liquidity make lofty targets contingent moderately than possible.

Merchants ought to watch three issues intently: whether or not NOT can reclaim and maintain the $0.00187 space, each day traded quantity that helps maintain rallies, and broader crypto market dynamics, together with Bitcoin dominance.

Notably, rising quantity accompanying positive aspects would lend credibility to the present bounce, whereas a weak quantity would level to a possible retracement in the direction of additional lows.


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